|Japan: Web Traffic Growth Slow|
|Friday, 24 October 2008 07:06|
Japan's Internet traffic is not exploding despite p2p, YouTube video, and the fastest networks in the world. A definitive study finds "Contrary to this popular claim, technically solid reports show only modest traffic growth worldwide."
http://www.iijlab.net/~kjc/papers/kjc-conext2008.pdf. It's based on the most extensive data ever collected about Internet traffic, provided by the largest carriers in the country with the best fiber coverage in the world (IIJ, SoftBank Telecom, K-Opticom, KDDI, NTT Communications, and SoftBank BB.) Japan was the first country where fiber to the home customers passed DSL customers. Since the Japanese have had high speeds earlier than anyone outside Asia, this is a good look into the future of western networks,
The total bandwidth costs at large carriers are probably dropping, That's definitely true at two of these carriers. Moore's Law brings down the cost per bit at 25-40% per year, easily keeping pace with the 27% growth in traffic. 27% would be fabulous in other industries, but on the net that represents a slowdown. The exaflood fears are hype from paid advocates; everyone close to the networks know they are wildly exaggerated. There's much more in the report by Kenjiro Cho of IIJ, Hiroshi Esaki of the University of Tokyo, Akira Kato of Keio University and Kensuke Fukuda of NII / PRESTO JST:
|Last Updated on Wednesday, 26 November 2008 01:34|